by Kymberly Ashman, Sales Manager, Northfields at Pitshanger
When watching or reading the news, statistics are quoted from many different bodies that bring fresh news about the state of the property market. However, the statistics often vary widely or even contradict each other. So who are these bodies that produce the market updates and which should you trust?
Nationwide and Halifax
Perhaps the best known surveys of the property market are provided by Britain's two biggest mortgage lenders, Nationwide and Halifax. Both surveys cover the entire UK, rather than just England and Wales. Their figures are often very similar, as they are both based on the price agreed after a survey by their mortgage customers.
However, they are based only on property sales financed by mortgage lending, and do not include cash sales.
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)
Another well known survey, RICS has a rather different focus - this survey reflects confidence in the property market rather than actual property sales.
The figures are collected from three hundred surveyors and estate agents in England & Wales who are asked if they feel prices are falling or rising.
Respondents are also quizzed on a host of other related issues, such as whether the number of buyers and sellers are rising or falling.
As a result the RICS survey often shows any changes in the market earlier than other surveys.
Land Registry
The most authoritative survey has only been recently launched. The Land Registry records all completed property sales in England & Wales. It is now publishing a monthly report on house prices, in addition to its quarterly survey. The survey records prices since April 2000. The survey also takes into account that incidences of the same house being sold again by using something called Repeat Sales Regression to measure the change in prices over time. In short, this means it is comparing the price of properties sold now with the price paid when it was sold before.
In addition, the Land Registry's quarterly survey is still very thorough. The proceeds of all the transactions are added up, and then divided by the total number of sales to reach an average sale price, but this measurement does not include repossessions and property transfers following a divorce to avoid altering the figures.
Because Land Registry takes almost all residential property sales into account, the Land Registry's figures can provide a unique insight into not only national but local prices. The main downfall of this survey is that the survey comes out only once every three months, the figures are out of date by the time they are published.
Government price survey
The government has its own monthly house price index, issued by the Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG). It collates lending information from about fifty lenders, which is collected through the Survey of Mortgage Lenders. Unlike the Land Registry survey the new government index does take into account information on cash purchases and it only appears two months in arrears.
The advantage of the survey is that indexes the whole of the UK, the major regions and separately indexes first-time buyers. This new survey depends much more on the total amount of money spent. Relying on expenditure in this way means that London and the South East, where house prices are highest, really affects the index.
Hometrack and Rightmove
Both of these property websites also produce their own house price surveys. These surveys reflect the prices that properties are marketed at, by surveying asking prices. However, these surveys obviously do not reflect the prices at which properties actually sell.
To sum up, surveys are geared to reflect different aspects of the property market with information ranging from consumer confidence, to actual property sales to the range of asking prices as the basis of the survey. Many do not reflect the specifics of your local area, so for the latest property update, call Kymberly Ashman on 0208 998 3111 or click here to request an up to date valuation on your property.